Commentary on CWT w/ Jack Clark - Bullish case for AI impact on economic growth
Link to MR post: MR Jack and Tyler are both of the opinion that AI will cause lower economic growth than the 20%-30% estimates of those who are "feeling the agi" because real world bottlenecks in the world of atoms, which still makes up the majority of the Economy by far, will put some brakes on that breakneck acceleration. Now, I'm certain that both of them have already thought about the argument I'll make here, but I just want to spell it out loud. Many bottlenecks in the real world are consequences of political disputes (broadly speaking) in which parties have to rely on claims to support their side. In a world where more people rely on AI - and here I'm imagining the voting public using using AI to help them think about these disputes - it's possible that we'll see more rational, or at least better supported by evidence, policy getting an edge. For example, a supporter of a proposal to reduce the maximum speed in a ...