vslira's blog

     Related links: Reddit thread , HN thread     A few thoughts:     I fully understand the schadenfreude on the part of the SWE community. These things are possibly an existential threat to their livelihoods and the negativity is fully understandable if not misguided, but these victory laps seem to be repeating a common pattern of not waiting a couple months(!) before these systems improve, very publicly, from a mix of better models and now actively incremented training data from MSFT employees. This is the worst this system will ever be and looking in the improvement rate of the last few months should teach people to wait a little bit before condemning the effort fruitless     On a tangential note, I wonder if this public effort is somehow related to Github's new updated rate limits ( hn discussion ). All this juicy data PLUS expert human feedback out in the open ready to be used for distillation is an obvious target to upstarts trying to...

     Link to MR post: MR     Jack and Tyler are both of the opinion that AI will cause lower economic growth than the 20%-30% estimates of those who are "feeling the agi" because  real world bottlenecks in the world of atoms, which still makes up the majority of the Economy by far, will put some brakes on that breakneck acceleration.     Now, I'm certain that both of them have already thought about the argument I'll make here, but I just want to spell it out loud. Many bottlenecks in the real world are consequences of political disputes (broadly speaking) in which parties have to rely on claims to support their side. In a world where more people rely on AI - and here I'm imagining the voting public using using AI to help them think about these disputes - it's possible that we'll see more rational, or at least better supported by evidence, policy getting an edge.     For example, a supporter of a proposal to reduce the maximum speed in a ...